Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.733050 0.851269 0.979619 1.128957 1.297557 1.481618 1.697366
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.543022 0.701449 0.889171 1.126387 1.416372 1.757443 2.186901
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.442777 0.626150 0.859948 1.176036 1.587798 2.101156 2.784009
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.366714 0.561934 0.827326 1.207541 1.730063 2.413657 3.364487
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.322788 0.530429 0.828729 1.277566 1.922481 2.800194 4.065981
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.269219 0.473849 0.784029 1.273169 2.006143 3.041082 4.584150
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.224421 0.421916 0.736930 1.255999 2.064577 3.245223 5.059275
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.189807 0.379949 0.698150 1.244312 2.125908 3.452979 5.547900
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.167839 0.355698 0.683968 1.268234 2.241302 3.745419 6.175924
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.147963 0.331595 0.666226 1.282911 2.340922 4.017648 6.786815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.130074 0.308021 0.645870 1.289785 2.426352 4.270720 7.380015
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.117868 0.293668 0.640182 1.321011 2.553711 4.596621 8.103733
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.103758 0.273225 0.621047 1.327024 2.640174 4.865076 8.757763
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.086768 0.243142 0.578863 1.285074 2.637785 4.985138 9.176550
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.079691 0.234718 0.579654 1.325907 2.788349 5.373404 10.062024
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.072451 0.224475 0.575115 1.355257 2.919078 5.733984 10.918241
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.069371 0.224250 0.592330 1.430415 3.141785 6.268168 12.097964
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.061040 0.208367 0.572093 1.424761 3.206772 6.522701 12.801785
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.052991 0.191447 0.546959 1.405542 3.242558 6.724741 13.420934
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.046372 0.177112 0.525860 1.392552 3.288929 6.947297 14.085182
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.042494 0.170267 0.522377 1.418872 3.417726 7.330763 15.058297
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038551 0.162307 0.514913 1.435026 3.525881 7.679741 15.982531
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.034678 0.153645 0.504349 1.442592 3.615791 7.997358 16.861394